Monday, November 06, 2006

channelling skywalker

Well, it's the day before the Election, and I gotta say, I've got a bad feeling about this. Oh, not that the Democrats wont make gains; they will, some, unless the Republican Vote Manipulation Machine is much bigger than most people think. But, well...

Here is my prediction, and may I please be wrong: The Democrats will take the House, barely. Beyond that, maybe a few states will swing marginally blue, but dont expect miracles. Maybe I've just been swayed by the propaganda, but I dont think people are pissed enough yet, and the Republicans will do everything in Karl's power to blame every bad thing that happens in the next 2 years on the Democrats, thereby transferring our anger to them (not everyone will be fooled , of course, but they dont need to fool everyone, just 51%)(or 48%, with Deibold's help thrown in). And bad things will happen. Considering the mess that 4 years of absolute Republican rule have created, bad things cant not happen.
The only way for the Democrats to save themselves is investigation, investigation, investigation*. They have two years to show both the nation and the world that the problem is not America, the problem is Republicans (however much Americans, and especially the Democratic Party, may have enabled the Republicans). Quite frankly though, I dont think that the Democrats have got what it takes to do that. Nancy Pelosi has already been clintonized**, and you can bet that's going to make her cautious, because as any politician will tell you, it's more important to retain power than it is to do the right thing***. So, after two years of being hammered by Rovian Propaganda, and having everything they do challenged by the Republicans, and catching much of the blame for the morass that Iraq will continue to sink into, expect the Republicans to retain the White House in 2008, and possibly regain House control.

And yes, I do think that we're that stupid.

* If they are very lucky, Raed's rumored coup will occur before the innaugurations in January, which will make it hard to blame on the Democrats and provide a beautiful starting point for an investigation into the whole Iraq mess.
** As in, she's been demonized the same way that Bill and Hilary have been. Maybe she deserves it, maybe she doesnt, but it wouldnt matter to the GOP propagandists, now, would it?
*** Because if you're not in power, the arguement goes, how can you do the right thing? The answer is one that any soldier could tell you, you throw yourself on the grenade and save your fellows, because otherwise you're all going to get blown up.

6 comments:

Omnipotent Poobah said...

I hate to say this, but I think we both looking at tea leaves from the same bag.

Anonymous said...

Dave,
I believe you are correct in your basic premis. If the Dems get lucky ans win either or both houses they will lose the 08 in a landslide.
I believe that what the US is set up for is a 3rd party. The hold up on the 3rd party is what happenedin the absolute fluke that elected clinton. The rep/ind voters are scared of that again happening so they vote rep.
Thats my take anyway
I hope it turns out however you would prefer.
jsull

Cranky Yankee said...

We won! Shamelessly plugging my latest post...

Unknown said...

Yes, “investigation, investigation, investigation” is exactly right and the Dems better be careful because two years is a short amount of time to screw it all up and give up the gold. Now we just need that Senate.

Anonymous said...

My tea leaves are leaning to that third party becoming one single party in the US. Dire consequences indeed, but entirely possible. I agree with you that anything and everything that can go wrong will be blamed on the Dems, McCain will defeat Hillery, and there will be no amount of Prozac to console us afterwards. I just can't get excited about our 'victory' lest we truly heal this fractured country.

daveawayfromhome said...

A third party is a beautiful dream. Hell, a multi-party system like they have in many civilized countries would be wonderful, but it's not going to happen. Quiet's got the more likely scenario, especially if the Democrats dont break the Cabal in the next two years. BushCo's been pushing us towards a third-world level, and one-party systems are a major feature of your average third-world country.